Warning Analysis for the Information Age: Rethinking the Intelligence Process

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Joint Military Intelligence College, Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, 2003 - Intelligence service - 190 pages
Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.
 

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Page 170 - Autobiography, sadly remarked that "a new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.
Page 89 - The Second Law of Thermodynamics states that the entropy of the universe is always increasing; that is, the world as a whole is always disassembling or falling apart.
Page 34 - Strategy is the art of making use of time and space. I am less chary of the latter than the former. Space we can recover, lost time never.
Page 99 - Carley, director of the Center for Computational Analysis of Social and Organizational Systems at Carnegie Mellon University...
Page 21 - In this connection it is not irrelevant to note that of all forms of mental activity the most difficult to induce, even in the minds of the young who may be presumed not to have lost their flexibility, is the art of handling the same bundle of data as before, but placing them in a new system of relations with one another by giving them a different framework, all of which virtually means putting on a different kind of thinking-cap for the moment.
Page 21 - ... picking up the other end of the stick," a process that involves "handling the same bundle of data as before, but placing them in a new system of relations with one another by giving them a different...
Page 43 - an interactive process of many-sided, implicit, cross-referencing projections, empathies, correlations, and rejections that is shaped by and shapes the interplay of genetic heritage, cultural tradition, previous experiences, and unfolding circumstances.
Page 167 - The second O, orientation — as the repository of our genetic heritage, cultural tradition, and previous experiences — is the most important part of the OODA loop since it shapes the way we observe, the way we decide, the way we act.
Page 92 - ... somehow not really related to one another. On the one hand, are political leaders making political decisions, and on the other are military leaders undertaking military exercises, carrying out mobilization, deploying troops, and so on, almost on their own without relationship to the political situation? This is highly erroneous, at least in countries where the national leadership exerts effective command and control over the military forces, and it is particularly erroneous where the political...
Page 5 - ... communist countries were embarked on courses inimical to the interests of the Free World and which could lead to surprise actions or open aggression. Enemy actions in World War II, such as the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941, had dispelled many of the conventional or historical concepts about how wars begin. The fear that America's enemies once again might undertake devastating, surprise military action — and without prior declaration of war or other conventional warning — had become...

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